My Mutual Fund

Last post 11-20-2009 11:18 PM by KELLYBROWN9. 110 replies.
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  • 09-27-2009 10:22 AM

    My Mutual Fund

    Mutual fund managers make like a zillion dollars every year selecting stocks for portfolios that usually have a difficult time beating the general stock market. I believe that with a basic understanding of the stock market and some research in selecting a diversified portfolio of investments, non-professionals can be as successful as these highly compensated individuals. 

    On this thread I am checking if anyone is interested in posting what their portfolio would include if they were running a mutual fund.

    Here are the criteria: Pick between 50 and 100 stocks, ETFs, or funds (long positions only) before the end of the day on Sunday. Those picks will be tracked for one week and compared to the general stock market and reported on a regular basis. No trades can be made during the week. This will be repeated each week.

    Anyone interested in trying to beat the professionals?

  • 09-27-2009 10:26 AM In reply to

    Re: My Mutual Fund

    Effective 9/27/09 my selections for a mutual fund would include

     

    See picks in post below.

  • 09-27-2009 3:12 PM In reply to

    Re: My Mutual Fund

    Are there any price requirements like no penny stocks (over the counters, pink sheets). Are we supposed to mimic mutual fund managers with stocks that trade over $5/share? I'm still compiling my list so I just wanted to make sure there weren't any other rules or stipulations. And is this tracking of personal indices of weekly stock picks based on a point system?

  • 09-27-2009 4:21 PM In reply to

    Re: My Mutual Fund

    Hey Rich, I used a 50 stock minimum limit, so if you want to throw in penny stocks, low price stocks, etc, --- go ahead. I figured we would weight each stock equally and then compare the total portfolio percentage change to a total maket index. Each stock would make up between 1 - 2% of the portfolio, so even a few wild penny stocks shouldn't have much impact. The goal is to see what others are thinking as well as to see if our screening strategies (as opposed to using just a few picks) can beat the markets. My portfolio will not be overly aggressive, but I think it will beat the general market (and most fund managers) over the long run.
  • 09-27-2009 4:54 PM In reply to

    Re: My Mutual Fund

    Sounds like a plan, I'm gonna keep mine to a 50 stock minimum.

    Most of these picks are from my Friday screens, with a few others that I think should do well over the course of a week.

    CRBC CIT MRK SBUX BPOP USB VLO LSI SYMC ABT MCD TSO IP PCS MI HRB PNC SUN RDC SO BUSE CTL CMI RSH GIS XEL GENZ APOL WFSL CEPH DOV SUSQ SWY DTV CMCSA PG T FTR TDC YHOO EK HRS CL LLTC UUP PSQ SMN DZZ EDC

  • 09-27-2009 4:59 PM In reply to

    Re: My Mutual Fund

    Looks like we have two in common Rich: IP and RSH. I guess that makes them a buy.
  • 09-27-2009 5:07 PM In reply to

    Re: My Mutual Fund

    I picked up FDO and KR in my screens as well, just wasn't sure if I should run with those too. I saw SWY in the same screen as KR, SWY just looked like a better technical trade for the week as it has found support on its 50 day Moving average. FDO looked like it was severely oversold but still could have potential room to the downside (50 day MA getting ready to cross 200 day MA to the downside), might be a better short than long. But hey I could be completely off as I have been with my 1 a day picks lol.

  • 09-27-2009 5:09 PM In reply to

    Re: My Mutual Fund

    I assume we are going by the Monday open and Friday close performances.

  • 09-27-2009 5:23 PM In reply to

    Re: My Mutual Fund

    Sure, Monday morning through Friday close.--------------------------FDO has been close to the top of my screens for a while due to the oversold condition. Long term I think it'll be ok, but it may continue this trend down for a short time yet.
  • 09-27-2009 10:28 PM In reply to

    Re: My Mutual Fund

    Rich - that's only 49 picks.  Do you have one more?

  • 09-27-2009 10:35 PM In reply to

    Re: My Mutual Fund

    The following are the mutual funds for the week starting 9/28/09:

    The goal is to beat the overall stock market as measured by the VTI (Vanguard Total Market ETF).

     

      KellyB Mutual Fund     Rich A. Fluent Mutual Fund
             
    AAI AIRTRAN HLDGS INC   ABT ABBOTT LABORATORIES
    AAP ADVANCE AUTO PARTS   APOL Apollo Group, Inc.
    ACET Aceto Corporation   BPOP Popular, Inc.
    ACF AMERICREDIT CP   BUSE First Busey Corporation
    ACM AECOM TECHNOLOGY COR   CEPH Cephalon, Inc.
    ADI ANALOG DEVICES   CIT CIT GROUP INC (DEL)
    ADM ARCHER DANIELS MDLND   CL COLGATE PALMOLIVE
    AER AERCAP HOLDINGS N.V.   CMCSA Comcast Corporation
    AES AES CORPORATION   CMI CUMMINS INC
    AET AETNA INC. NEW   CRBC Citizens Republic Bancorp, Inc.
    AFL A F L A C INC   CTL CENTURYTEL INC
    AGP AMERIGROUP CORP   DOV DOVER CP
    ANR ALPHA NATURAL RES   DTV The DIRECTV Group, Inc.
    ARRS Arris Group Inc   DZZ DB GOLD DBL SH ETN
    AWH ALLIED WLD ASSUR CO   EDC EMERGING MKTS BULL3X
    BAGL Einstein Noah Restaurant Group, EK EASTMAN KODAK CO
    BCR BARD C R INC   FTR FRONTIER COMMUN CP
    BIG BIG LOTS INC   GENZ Genzyme Corporation
    BP BP PLC   GIS GEN MILLS INC
    BYI BALLY TECHNOLOGIES   HRB H R BLOCK INC
    CHIC Charlotte Russe Holding, Inc.   HRS HARRIS CP
    CI CIGNA CP   IP INTL PAPER
    COCO Corinthian Colleges, Inc.   LLTC Linear Technology Corporation
    COF CAPITAL ONE FINANCIA   LSI LSI CORPORATION
    CRYP CryptoLogic Limited   MCD MCDONALDS CP
    CTCM CTC Media, Inc.   MI NEW M&I CORPORATION
    CVH COVENTRY HLTH CARE   MRK MERCK CO INC
    CVS CVS CAREMARK CP   PCS METROPCS COMM INC
    CYH COMMUNITY HEALTH   PG PROCTER GAMBLE CO
    DELL Dell Inc.   PNC P N C FIN SVCS GR
    DLM DEL MONTE FOODS CO   PSQ PROSHARES SHORT QQQ
    EMS EMERGENCY MED SVCS   RDC ROWAN COS INC
    ENDP Endo Pharmaceuticals Holdings I RSH RADIOSHACK CORP
    EXPE Expedia, Inc.   SBUX Starbucks Corporation
    FCX FREEPORT MCMORAN B   SMN ULTRASHORT BASIC MAT
    FDO FAMILY DOLLAR STORES   SO SOUTHERN CO
    FEIC FEI Company   SUN SUNOCO INC
    FSYS Fuel Systems Solutions, Inc.   SUSQ Susquehanna Bancshares, Inc.
    GG GOLDCORP INC   SWY SAFEWAY STORES INC
    GLBL Global Industries, Ltd.   SYMC Symantec Corporation
    GLW CORNING INC   T AT&T INC.
    GNK GENCO SHIPPING   TDC TERADATA CORP
    HMA HLTH MGMT ASSOC A   TSO TESORO CORP
    HUM HUMANA INC   USB US BANCORP
    IP INTL PAPER   UUP PS DB USD IDX BL FD
    ISIS Isis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.   VLO VALERO ENERGY CP
    JBL JABIL CIRCUIT INC   WFSL Washington Federal, Inc.
    JBLU JetBlue Airways Corporation   XEL XCEL ENERGY INC
    JCI JOHNSON CONTROLS INC   YHOO Yahoo! Inc.
    KR KROGER CO      
    MED MEDIFAST INC      
    MIR MIRANT CORP      
    MO ALTRIA GROUP INC      
    MON MONSANTO COMPANY      
    NEU NEWMARKET CORP      
    NFX NEWFIELD EXP COM      
    NNI NELNET INC      
    NSC NORFOLK SO CP      
    NTWK NetSol Technologies Inc.      
    NVE NV ENERGY INC      
    OCR OMNICARE INC      
    PCLN priceline.com Incorporated      
    PDLI PDL BioPharma, Inc.      
    PERY Perry Ellis International Inc.      
    PFG PRINCIPAL FINL GROUP      
    PHH PHH CORP      
    PRAA Portfolio Recovery Associates,    
    PRU PRUDENTIAL FINCL INC      
    PRX PHARMACUTICAL CO      
    RCII Rent-A-Center Inc.      
    REV REVLON INC NEW      
    RIMM Research In Motion Limited      
    RSH RADIOSHACK CORP      
    SEPR Sepracor Inc.      
    SGP SCHERING PLOUGH CP      
    STX Seagate Technology.      
    SWKS Skyworks Solutions, Inc.      
    SWM SCHWEITZER MAUDIT      
    TGT TARGET CP      
    TIBX TIBCO Software, Inc.      
    TLVT Telvent GIT, S.A.      
    TMO THERMO FISHER SCIENT      
    TNS TNS INC      
    TXT TEXTRON INC      
    UNH UNITEDHEALTH GROUP      
    UNM UNUM GROUP      
    VGR VECTOR GROUP LTD      
    VMED Virgin Media Inc.      
    VZ VERIZON COMMUN      
    WDC WESTERN DIGITAL CP      
    WLP WELLPOINT INC.      
    WLT WALTER ENERGY, INC      
    WMS W M S INDS INC      
    WMT WAL MART STORES      
    WSM WILLIAMS SONOMA INC      
    XOM EXXON MOBIL CP      

  • 09-28-2009 5:46 PM In reply to

    Re: My Mutual Fund

    Based on the picks shown above, for 9/28 KellyB was positive 1.7%, Rich was positive 0.7% and the market was positive 1.5%.
  • 09-28-2009 11:28 PM In reply to

    Re: My Mutual Fund

     You are forgetting transaction costs

  • 09-29-2009 7:07 AM In reply to

    Re: My Mutual Fund

    If I still need to add one I'll go with COST

  • 09-29-2009 8:50 AM In reply to

    Re: My Mutual Fund

    Barboni, the transaction costs are included. We each started with a billion dollars. So with fees at $10 per trade my costs were .0001% so far and Rich's were half that amount. It's more fun to start with huge amounts of money so that we can buy entire companies and run them more profitably.---------------------- Rich, I will add COST starting today, ok?
  • 09-29-2009 6:40 PM In reply to

    Re: My Mutual Fund

    For today, Kelly was up 0.2%, Rich was up 0.5% and the markets were down 0.2%.-------------------------In total, Kelly is up 2.0%, Rich is up 1.2% and the markets are up 1.3%. I will show individual stock returns at the end of the week.
  • 09-30-2009 8:52 PM In reply to

    Re: My Mutual Fund

    For today, Kelly is down 0.3%, Rich is down 1.0% and the VTI is down 0.4%.------------- For the week Kelly is up 1.6%, Rich is down 0.1% and the VTI is up 0.9%.------------That CIT pick of Rich's has been quite active the last couple days.
  • 10-01-2009 6:29 PM In reply to

    Re: My Mutual Fund

    For 10/1. Kelly was down 2.8%, Rich was down 2.7% and the market was down 2.6%.------------------For the week so far, Kelly is down 1.2%, Rich is down 2.7% and the market is down 1.7%.
  • 10-03-2009 10:01 AM In reply to

    Re: My Mutual Fund

    For 10/2. Kelly was down 0.7%, Rich was down 0.8% and the market was down 0.6%.------------------ For the week, Kelly was down 1.9%, Rich was down 3.6% and the market was down 2.3%.
  • 10-03-2009 10:04 AM In reply to

    Re: My Mutual Fund

    I'm having computer compatability issues and will have to wait until tonight or tomorrow night to post the detail results and my portfilio for next week.
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