Running out of oil is probably fact, but so is intentionally running out of oil refineries to drive up the cost of gasoline. What motivation does BP or XOM have to build more billion dollar oil refineries when it is making more money off squeezing the gasoline supply. In essence, by doing less work (i.e. finding new sources of oil, building more refineries to flood the market with gasoline), a company like VLO or XOM stands to make more money. If your boss paid you $50,000/year to work 40 hours/week, but told you he would pay you $100,000/year if you only worked 30/week, then it's a no-brainer. Same premise here...