Dead cat bounce — what to do ... by Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D.
Don't let yesterday's rally in the Dow fool you. There are two crucial reasons why I'm convinced it was nothing more than a dead-cat bounce:
First, it was on extremely light volume. With most of Wall Street traders already on their Labor Day vacations, a handful of traders can easily move the market no matter how dire the underlying fundamentals are.
Second, the fundamental forces that caused this crisis — the number of mortgages going bad and the losses at banks, brokers and insurers — are piling up faster now than ever before.
Nevertheless, the Pollyannas of Wall Street — the same analysts who used to swear on a stack of Bibles that the mortgage mess would be "small" and "limited to sub-prime" — are out in force again, trying to lure you back into some of the most vulnerable stocks in the world today.
Mark my words: This credit crisis cannot end ... the bloodletting in bank stocks cannot subside ... the damage being inflicted on companies that need credit to survive cannot be healed ... and the carnage in the economy cannot be reversed ...
... until the cause — ever increasing debt defaults — is reversed.
Meanwhile, we have alarming reports that Florida's largest bank is now hanging by a thread and that news of a major bail-out could come as early as next week. Be sure to look for Sunday's Money & Markets for the full report.