One Strategy

Last post 10-17-2008 4:03 PM by bluecallbox. 22 replies.
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  • 06-05-2008 1:07 AM

    One Strategy

    One strategy that I use for daily trades is playing the earnings announcement game.

    I visit the Yahoo! Finance earnings calendar at the beginning of the week, find a stock that I think is popular and trades with a large volume. I take a "guestimate" about their earnings and either short the stock if I think earnings are going to be worse, or buy the stock if I think they will outperform. I'm not always correctly, but usually.

    Mike 

  • 06-05-2008 9:03 AM In reply to

    Re: One Strategy

    That is a good strategy.  I think I once heard that a stock price will go up just before an earnings announcement, so it is a good thing to watch.

  • 06-05-2008 5:44 PM In reply to

    Re: One Strategy

    Use caution that can be a dangerous plank to walk, if your stuck on that kinda play, try buying half before the announcement and if it's good, buy the other half after.          Good Luck&Happy Stock Hunting

  • 06-05-2008 7:44 PM In reply to

    Re: One Strategy

    You got that right.. it's a risky proposition.

    In my "Beat the Street" account I shorted BOBE because I thought there would be an earnings shortfall. I was wrong and now I'm in the hole BIG TIME.

    I don't ever use options in my "real" account, but WSS is just a game so it's easier to accept the high risk.

  • 06-05-2008 9:01 PM In reply to

    Re: One Strategy

    Thanks for the info

  • 06-05-2008 9:49 PM In reply to

    Re: One Strategy

    Playing earnings can be profitable but you have to be careful,sometimes your not just betting that the company will beat earnings or not sometimes a company has to destroy earnings to raise stock price and sometimes they can miss on earnings and the stock goes up cause they still did better than was thought.

  • 06-08-2008 6:37 AM In reply to

    Re: One Strategy

    I have tried that a couple of times, but I has never tourned out good for me

  • 06-20-2008 6:36 PM In reply to

    Re: One Strategy

     

    I just started using the same strategy on the CNBC contest. Too early to tell how it is going.
  • 07-23-2008 4:08 PM In reply to

    • gognz
    • Not Ranked
    • Joined on 07-16-2008
    • Posts 1

    Re: One Strategy

    i will try that 

  • 07-23-2008 6:20 PM In reply to

    Re: One Strategy

    What chart predicts results from earnings reports. THIS MARKET IS UNPREDICTABLE. Today BTU reports a double of previous profit earnings.Beats all expectations by a hugh margin. They say they can not keep up with demand for the future. A very strong and solid company, the shares dropped 5% on this news?

  • 07-23-2008 9:58 PM In reply to

    Re: One Strategy

    THIS MARKET IS UNPREDICTABLE.

    Except for oil dropping, I can't see any reason why stocks would be climbing. Everything else points to a worsening economy, and lower corporate profits. You "called the shot" on things being unpredictable. ;-)

     

  • 07-25-2008 11:05 PM In reply to

    Re: One Strategy

    Hello Mr. Sonoran,

    I have played this strategy many times.  It is one of my favorites.  The way I do it is I do a screen of all stocks on Telechart looking for companies that are in down trends but their character seems to change.  BOP goes green, price slides sideways, something to stop the downslide.  Then I research when their earnings announcement is scheduled.  I buy just off of the change in character.  I sell "before" the announcement. 

    The logic here is that the folks that have been selling off  their shares stop doing so when it starts getting close to earnings.  Their previous "fear" is offset by their "hope".  This tends to stop the stock price from dropping.  Once it stops going down and starts going up a bit a lot of people will jump thinking that everybody else knows something they don't.  

    Protect your principal and trade with luck, 

    Barbershores  

     

  • 07-26-2008 1:51 PM In reply to

    Re: One Strategy

    This seems to be a risky strategy. Since I have nothing to lose, I'll try it.

  • 09-08-2008 6:17 PM In reply to

    • OBNS
    • Not Ranked
    • Joined on 08-12-2007
    • Posts 10

    Re: One Strategy

    Now this is called GAMBLING .... take LDK SOLAR for example .... for last 2 quaters they are coming out with good earnings .... they beat the expectations by a very big margin ... their profits and revenues are up more than 100% ... but some god forsaken analyist, who probably didnt profit from it or missed it), says next quarter their costs are going up so their profit margins are shrinking ..... stock goes down 15%+ now the next quarter comes ... LDK smashes the earnings ... beating the market expectations .... the analyst say the same thing ... boom ... stock is down 20% .... Thanks god this thing didnt happen in the recent quarter ... but u never know what the direction of the stock is going to be ... so this is a very very very risky and unrelaible strategy .... please dont follow this strategy when investing in real life
  • 09-12-2008 12:01 AM In reply to

    Re: One Strategy

    please dont follow this strategy when investing in real life

    Of course, that goes without saying. But this is a "game" where taking risk can be rewarded, and where the trading winner is usually someone who has made highly-risky, but profitable choices.

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