The inflation and subsequent collapse of the residential real estate
market was facilitated by the Federal Reserve over nearly a decade.
From the late 1990's when the technology bubble burst until early 2007
when investors began to realize how much bad debt had actually been
created in the housing market, interest rates were kept artificially
low, while capital poured into suburban sprawl and subprime mortgages.
The leader of the Fed and manipulator-in-chief of the economy during
the primary boom years was Alan Greenspan, who once believed in things
such as the gold standard, the impossibility of sustaining a housing
bubble, and speaking to Congress in riddles and financial jargon. His
main adversary in the Congress was Ron Paul, who still believes in
things such as the gold standard, the impossibility of sustaining any
manufactured market bubble, and is a master riddle-solver himself with
a strong Austrian economics background.
One of the great mysteries of the Greenspan legacy has been his
rumored doctoral thesis for New York University, compiled and written
in 1977. Certain revealing parts of the 180-page thesis have been
reported on by Barron's news organization. The parts reviewed by Jim
McTague at Barron's show that Greenspan most likely understood and
could have predicted all of the events he was putting into motion by
inflating a massive housing bubble.
A most intriguing quote from the article shows how the master
manipulator knew what would happen when the dotcom bubble burst and all
that capital needed a new home in residential housing. "Greenspan also
broke new ground in the introduction to his thesis, where he noted that
homeowners were refinancing for larger amounts than their original
mortgage, in essence monetizing increases in their home's market value
and spending the excess cash on goods and services or putting it into
savings." This was long before double-digit rises is home values,
subprime mortgages, no-doc loans, Home Equity Lines of Credit (HELOCs),
and inflatable-value McMansion-burbs, but is a perfect representation
of what happened during the real estate boom of the late 1990's and
early 2000's.
Ron Paul, as well, understood the consequences of the housing
bubble. In a speech made into the Congressional Record on September 6,
2001, he stated, "Refinancing especially helped the consumers to
continue spending even in a slowing economy." The same monetization of
rising property values that Greenspan was concerned about became
Greenspan's policy when looking for a new bubble.
Neither Paul nor Greenspan believed that a continual cycle of rising
home prices and refinancing could continue, however. As Greenspan
himself claimed in his doctoral thesis, "There is no perpetual motion
machine which generates an ever-rising path for the prices of homes."
Paul, in the same entry into the Congressional Record as referenced
above, agreed: "This, too, will burst as all bubbles do." And the more
inflated the bubble became, and the more capital was misdirected into
it, the greater would be its fall.
Who, though, could have predicted such a large crash of the real
estate market, with property values falling to lower than the
replacement costs of the buildings? Well, Greenspan, for one. A "break
in prices of existing homes would pull down the prices of new homes to
the level of construction costs or below, inducing a sharp contraction
in building," he wrote in the thesis that earned him a well-deserved
Ph.D; well-deserved due to his uncanny ability to predict the
consequences of policies he would set in place and disclaim
responsibility for later on.
Paul also knew that malinvestment caused by government intervention
in any sector of the economy would lead to disaster. Making a statement
before the Financial Services Committee of the House of Representatives
in September of 2007, Paul said, "The housing boom was caused by the
Federal Reserve's policy resulting in artificially low interest rates.
Consumers, misled by low interest rates, were looking to consume, while
homebuilders saw the low interest rates as a signal to build, and build
they did." The larger the bubble, the more malinvestment would occur,
and the more severe the correction would have to be.
Most joking aside, the example of Alan Greenspan as Federal Reserve
chairman should serve as a strong warning against putting anyone in
power who believes they understand how the economy works. Greenspan
understood and believed in libertarian ideas of economic manipulation
and Austrian economics, and then spent nearly two decades at the Fed
working against every one of those principles.
It is not so much that he went back or overturned what he believed
in to become the most successful bubble-inflator in history -- far
worse than that, he used his understanding of how a free market can
work in order to further the cause of socialism. In fact, it would
probably have been far less destructive to have someone in charge of
the Fed who had admittedly no understanding of how markets work at all,
rather than someone who understands free markets and the prosperity
they help engender but psychopathically worked in the opposite
direction.
Ron Paul, on the other hand, stood by his principles and had the
audacity to challenge supposed libertarian and Austrian economics
advocate Greenspan. For this and his continuing adherence to
traditional American beliefs of individual liberty and free trade, and
his opposition to government manipulation and corporate welfare, he has
been marginalized by mainstream media and colleagues in Washington.
Using the economy as a laboratory of how to turn a firm
understanding of the economy on its head and foster socialism and
corporatism, mad scientist Greenspan has further impoverished us all to
enter into and direct the economy from the sacred halls of the
financial elite. Paul, by advocating true freedom and less government,
has been shunned by the government-corporate media and the brainwashed
masses, but his ideas and influence are being embraced by an
ever-expanding group of people waking up to the evils of government
manipulation and psychopathy of power.